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How to niche down: why startups should, how to do it, and when to broaden again

How to Niche Down
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Jenna Alburger

Positioning and Messaging Consultant

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SharpStance

August 5, 2024
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Ask a founder what advice they least want to hear and the answer is usually "you need to niche down." Nobody starts a company hoping to sell to a small group of people. They look at the total addressable market as a big pizza and they'd like the whole thing, and here's someone telling them to take one slice.

Yes, you need to niche down. Most startups that make it did, whether or not they used the phrase, and the ones that skipped it usually ran out of money before they ran out of market. The slice is where the second slice comes from.

Why niche down: a startup's budget only lights one fire

Geoffrey Moore's explanation in Crossing the Chasm is still the best one:

"Trying to cross the chasm without taking a niche market approach is like trying to light a fire without kindling. The bunched-up paper represents your promotional budget, and the log, a major market opportunity. No matter how much paper you put under that log, if you don't have any target market segments to act as kindling, sooner or later, the paper will be all used up, and the log still won't be burning."

The paper runs out fast. A seed-stage marketing budget spread across six industries buys a few weeks of ads in each and no case studies in any. The same budget pointed at one segment buys enough presence that the second customer has heard of you from the first. Moore's instruction for the startup that wants to grow past its early adopters: "Make a total commitment to the niche, and then do your best to meet everyone else's needs with whatever resources you have left over."

Peter Thiel gets to the same place from the investor's side of the table. In Zero to One he writes that "it's always a red flag when entrepreneurs talk about getting 1% of a $100 billion market," because a small share of a huge market means competing with everyone in it. His advice is to start with a small market you can dominate and grow from there.

Niching down also fixes four things at once, and the fixes stack.

It gets you a better product, because building for one segment means you can solve the whole problem for them instead of the first 60% of the problem for everyone. It gets you usable testimonials, since a case study from a company that looks exactly like the prospect is the strongest sales asset a young company has, and a case study from a company that looks nothing like them is a nice PDF. It gets you a team pulling in one direction, so marketing, sales, and product are all working from one description of one customer instead of five. And it lets you be the leader somewhere. Buyers prefer to buy from the leader in their category, and it's far easier to be the leader of a category with 40 accounts in it than the fifth-best option in one with 40,000.

How to niche down: Moore's bowling alley

Moore's model for growing from a niche is the bowling alley, which he also walked through on Lenny's Podcast in early 2024. You knock down one pin, and the fall of that pin knocks down the next one. Each niche you win gives you the references, the product, and the reputation to win a neighbouring one at lower cost, and you adjust the positioning slightly each time to fit the next group.

In practice it's five steps, in this order.

  1. Pick the beachhead. Choose a narrow market with a strong need for what you do and little competition serving it well. Moore's rule for choosing: "targeting a very specific niche market where you can dominate from the outset, force your competitors out of that market niche, and then use it as a base for broader operations." Look for the early adopters inside it, the buyers willing to try something new because the payoff is big enough.
  2. Build the whole product for them. Make sure your offer does everything that segment needs, including the integrations, templates, and services that sit around the core software. If you can't build it all, partner for the rest. The bar is that you solve their problem clearly better than whatever they're doing today.
  3. Win the segment outright. Put every resource into being the obvious choice for this group. Then collect the proof: case studies, references, logos that the next buyer in the same segment will recognise.
  4. Move to the adjacent segment. Find the market next door that shares the same problem and could use a lightly adapted version of what you built. Enter it with the credibility from segment one already in hand.
  5. Plan the sequence. Decide the order of the next three or four pins before you knock down the second one, so each move sets up the one after it.
Geoffrey Moore's bowling pin strategy (also known as the bowling alley strategy) from Crossing the Chasm

Examples of niching down: Amazon, Tesla, and Airbnb

Even the "everything store" started with one thing.

Amazon sold books, and only books, for its first few years. In a 1997 interview, Jeff Bezos explained why: "There are more items in the book category than there are items in any other category, by far." About 3 million titles in print worldwide against roughly 200,000 music CDs, which meant "you can literally build a store online that couldn't exist any other way." Books were the niche where an online store had an advantage no physical store could match. Amazon used them to build the logistics and the customer base, then added music, then everything else.

Tesla started with a two-seat sports car that cost over $100,000, and that was the plan from day one. Elon Musk published it in August 2006 as The Secret Tesla Motors Master Plan: "Build sports car. Use that money to build an affordable car. Use that money to build an even more affordable car." The Roadster was the beachhead. A small group of wealthy early adopters paid to prove the technology, and the Model S, Model 3, and Model Y followed in that order.

Airbnb started with three air mattresses in a San Francisco apartment in 2007, rented to attendees of a design conference because every hotel in the city was full. The first niche was people travelling to sold-out events, and the company's early growth came from chasing those events, including the 2008 Democratic National Convention in Denver. Business travel and luxury rentals came years later, on top of a platform that had already worked for one very specific kind of trip.

When to niche down and when to broaden

The niche is a starting point, and at some point you'll need to pick the next pin. The mistake I see most is moving early, when the first segment is producing revenue but nothing that looks like dominance yet. Five signs that segment one is done:

  1. Your case studies repeat. The last three customers had the same problem, bought for the same reason, and got the same result.
  2. Revenue in the segment is growing without a new push each quarter.
  3. Prospects in the segment arrive already knowing who you are.
  4. The product needs only small changes to fit the next segment over.
  5. You have enough revenue to fund a real launch in the new segment without starving the first one. Kindling, again.

When you move, run the same process you ran the first time: research the segment, validate the pain, and rewrite the positioning for it. The first segment felt like a small market. The second one is the same size and the same amount of work, and the shortcut of skipping the research because "it worked last time" is how the second pin stays standing.

How positioning changes as you niche down

Positioning and the go-to-market plan move together. At the beachhead, the positioning names one problem and one customer, in language that customer would use themselves. Compare "a scheduling platform for SMBs" with "scheduling software for medical practices with 10 to 50 employees that are losing patients to no-shows." The second one closes deals. As you add segments, the positioning widens one step at a time to include the new group without losing the specificity that made the first one work. The order matters. Broad positioning with no won segment underneath it is a claim with no proof, and pragmatist buyers check for proof first.

Niching down is how you get the whole pizza. One slice, then the next one, until the box is empty.

If you liked this article, follow me on LinkedIn. I have lots of thoughts, and some of them are worth reading 😉

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